Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Mafra vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record6-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamblooM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo MafraNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+16→ 1486
If they lose-16→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
2.12
Takedown avg.
TBD
83%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.42
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leonardo MafraTaisei Mizusugi
140014501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi70%
Leonardo Mafra 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 70% favorite over Leonardo Mafra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Mafra's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1470), separated by just 3 points.

Leonardo Mafra finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.