Leonardo Mafra vs Thiago Perpétuo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record9-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFuracao Fight Team
What's at stake
Thiago Perpétuo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Mafra carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1500
If they lose-21→ 1452
If they win+21→ 1545
If they lose-27→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo MafraThiago Perpétuo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Mafra53%
Thiago Perpétuo 47%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Mafra a 53% favorite over Thiago Perpétuo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Perpétuo's way (43%).
Thiago Perpétuo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1473, a 51-point edge.
Thiago Perpétuo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Mafra finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Perpétuo 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.