Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Morales vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gladiadores MMATeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

Yair Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leonardo MoralesNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-8→ 1549
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+8→ 1759
If they lose-24→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
58%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.69
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
63%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Leonardo MoralesYair Rodriguez
160017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
4 (29%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Yair Rodriguez79%
Leonardo Morales 21%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 79% favorite over Leonardo Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Yair Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1557, a 194-point edge.

Leonardo Morales finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.