Leonardo Santos vs Norman Parke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record32-7-1
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight200 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamNext Generation NI
What's at stake
Norman Parke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1697
If they lose-13→ 1665
If they win+10→ 1747
If they lose-14→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo SantosNorman Parke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norman Parke78%
Leonardo Santos 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Norman Parke a 78% favorite over Leonardo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Norman Parke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1678, a 59-point edge.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Leonardo Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.