Leonardo Santos vs Roman Bogatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamBoets MMA
What's at stake
Roman Bogatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1673
If they lose-14→ 1641
If they win+14→ 1717
If they lose-18→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Bogatov62%
Leonardo Santos 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Bogatov a 62% favorite over Leonardo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Roman Bogatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1655, a 48-point edge.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roman Bogatov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.