Leonardo Santos vs William Macario
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamPejor
What's at stake
Leonardo Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — William Macario carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1685
If they lose-25→ 1653
If they win+37→ 1499
If they lose-11→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo SantosWilliam Macario
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Santos61%
William Macario 39%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Santos a 61% favorite over William Macario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Leonardo Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1462, a 216-point edge.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
William Macario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Santos finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, William Macario 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.