Lerone Murphy vs Timur Khizriev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-1Record18-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1808
If they lose-16→ 1776
If they win+16→ 1810
If they lose-16→ 1778
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lerone MurphyTimur Khizriev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lerone Murphy58%
Timur Khizriev 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 58% favorite over Timur Khizriev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Timur Khizriev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1792 vs 1794), separated by just 2 points.
Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lerone Murphy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 22%.
Lerone Murphy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.