Combat Edge Intelligence

Lerryan Douglas vs Niklas Backstrom

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Killer BeesTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lerryan DouglasNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Niklas BackstromNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.67
Sig. strikes / min
1.12
64%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
64%
Strike defense
40%
0
Takedown avg.
2.92
0%
Takedown accuracy
80%
0%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
2.19

Trajectory

Lerryan DouglasNiklas Backstrom
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (21%)
Submission
4 (36%)
3 (21%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas82%
Niklas Backstrom 18%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 82% favorite over Niklas Backstrom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.

Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lerryan Douglas finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Backstrom 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.