Combat Edge Intelligence

Lerryan Douglas vs Piotr Kacprzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Killer BeesTeamCross Fight Radom

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lerryan DouglasNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Piotr KacprzakNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
64%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lerryan DouglasPiotr Kacprzak
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (21%)
Submission
5 (36%)
3 (21%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas52%
Piotr Kacprzak 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 52% favorite over Piotr Kacprzak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Piotr Kacprzak enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lerryan Douglas finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Kacprzak 57%.

Piotr Kacprzak carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.