Combat Edge Intelligence

Leslie Smith vs Sarah Kaufman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leslie Smith
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Leslie Smith

“The Peacemaker”

12-9-1FeatherweightBFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

12-9-1Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
66,0"Reach67.00
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts

What's at stake

Sarah Kaufman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Leslie Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leslie SmithNow 1588
If they win+17→ 1605
If they lose-15→ 1573
Sarah KaufmanNow 1608
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.56
Sig. strikes / min
6.65
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
8.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
51%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
63%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leslie SmithSarah Kaufman
16002018201920202021

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (9%)
7 (58%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Sarah Kaufman60%
Leslie Smith 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Sarah Kaufman a 60% favorite over Leslie Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Sarah Kaufman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1588, a 20-point edge.

Leslie Smith finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Kaufman 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.