Leslie Smith vs Tainara Lisboa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-9-1Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight134 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamDamas 013
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leslie SmithTainara Lisboa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tainara Lisboa64%
Leslie Smith 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tainara Lisboa a 64% favorite over Leslie Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leslie Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.
Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leslie Smith finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.