Combat Edge Intelligence

Levan Chokheli vs Luan Chagas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luan Chagas
br

Luan Chagas

“Tarzan”

15-3-1WelterweightUFC

1692Good

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phoenix Sportakademie KasselTeamGile Ribeiro Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Levan ChokheliNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Luan ChagasNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Levan ChokheliLuan Chagas
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (60%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Levan Chokheli66%
Luan Chagas 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Levan Chokheli a 66% favorite over Luan Chagas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luan Chagas's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.

Levan Chokheli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Levan Chokheli finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Luan Chagas 100%.

Luan Chagas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.