Combat Edge Intelligence

Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Wagner Prado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wagner Prado
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Wagner Prado

“Caldeirao”

18-8-1Light HeavyweightACA

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record18-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rasteira Fight TeamTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Levi Rodrigues Jr.Now 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Wagner PradoNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
22%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Levi Rodrigues Jr.Wagner Prado
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
16 (89%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Levi Rodrigues Jr.61%
Wagner Prado 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Levi Rodrigues Jr. a 61% favorite over Wagner Prado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wagner Prado's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1599), separated by just 4 points.

Levi Rodrigues Jr. finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Prado 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.