Combat Edge Intelligence

Lewis McGrillen vs Miguel Torres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record44-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lewis McGrillenNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Miguel TorresNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
TBD
Strike defense
74%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
18%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.60

Trajectory

Lewis McGrillenMiguel Torres
165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
14 (32%)
1 (8%)
Submission
20 (45%)
2 (15%)
Decision
10 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Lewis McGrillen73%
Miguel Torres 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 73% favorite over Miguel Torres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.

Lewis McGrillen finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Miguel Torres 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.