Lewis McGrillen vs Sergey Morozov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lewis McGrillenSergey Morozov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lewis McGrillen58%
Sergey Morozov 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lewis McGrillen a 58% favorite over Sergey Morozov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1676), separated by just 2 points.
Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lewis McGrillen finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.