Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam Gittins vs Shohei Nose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Gittins

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
65"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamMaster Japan Fukuoka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liam GittinsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Shohei NoseNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.85

Trajectory

Liam GittinsShohei Nose
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (23%)
Submission
8 (67%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins53%
Shohei Nose 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 53% favorite over Shohei Nose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1605), separated by just 2 points.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Liam Gittins finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Shohei Nose 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.