Liam Macfadyen vs Mateo Alejandro Vogel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Liam MacfadyenMateo Alejandro Vogel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateo Alejandro Vogel55%
Liam Macfadyen 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateo Alejandro Vogel a 55% favorite over Liam Macfadyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.
Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Liam Macfadyen finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Mateo Alejandro Vogel 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.