Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam Macfadyen vs Mateo Alejandro Vogel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Macfadyen
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Liam Macfadyen

“The Celtic Samurai”

6-0-0BantamweightSMMA

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liam MacfadyenNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Mateo Alejandro VogelNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Liam MacfadyenMateo Alejandro Vogel
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
4 (67%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Macfadyen60%
Mateo Alejandro Vogel 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Macfadyen a 60% favorite over Mateo Alejandro Vogel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1629), separated by just 0 points.

Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Liam Macfadyen finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Mateo Alejandro Vogel 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.