Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam McCracken vs Manuel Exposito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach69"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Aspire Combat Sports AcademyTeamEntram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liam McCrackenNow 1655
If they win+24→ 1679
If they lose-24→ 1631
Manuel ExpositoNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Liam McCrackenManuel Exposito
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (38%)
Submission
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Liam McCracken and Manuel Exposito within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1657), separated by just 2 points.

Liam McCracken enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Liam McCracken finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Exposito 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.