Combat Edge Intelligence

Lina Länsberg vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
65"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Redline Training CenterTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 rated

What's at stake

Sara McMann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lina Länsberg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lina LänsbergNow 1583
If they win+17→ 1600
If they lose-15→ 1568
Sara McMannNow 1614
If they win+15→ 1629
If they lose-17→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
55%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
44%
Strike defense
48%
0.52
Takedown avg.
4.38
28%
Takedown accuracy
65%
47%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Lina LänsbergSara McMann
1600165020222023

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (36%)
6 (60%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Sara McMann60%
Lina Länsberg 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Sara McMann a 60% favorite over Lina Länsberg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Sara McMann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1583, a 31-point edge.

Lina Länsberg enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lina Länsberg finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Lina Länsberg and Sara McMann share 2 common opponents: Karol Rosa and Gina Mazany.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (majority) · 2022
Karol Rosa
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinDEC · 2018
Gina Mazany
WinSUB · 2017