Combat Edge Intelligence

Lincoln Strong vs Matteo Martignoni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAurora MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lincoln StrongNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
Matteo MartignoniNow 1512
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1473 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lincoln StrongMatteo Martignoni
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Lincoln Strong60%
Matteo Martignoni 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lincoln Strong a 60% favorite over Matteo Martignoni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1512), separated by just 4 points.

Matteo Martignoni 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.