Combat Edge Intelligence

Lincoln Strong vs Pat Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamAmbition Training Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lincoln StrongNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
Pat SchillingNow 1522
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1473 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.24
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lincoln StrongPat Schilling
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lincoln Strong53%
Pat Schilling 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lincoln Strong a 53% favorite over Pat Schilling in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Schilling's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1522), separated by just 6 points.

Pat Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Schilling 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.