Combat Edge Intelligence

Lincoln Strong vs Takeshi Yamazaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record15-12-3
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lincoln StrongNow 1516
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
Takeshi YamazakiNow 1517
If they win+12→ 1529
If they lose-12→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1473 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lincoln StrongTakeshi Yamazaki
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Lincoln Strong61%
Takeshi Yamazaki 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lincoln Strong a 61% favorite over Takeshi Yamazaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takeshi Yamazaki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1517), separated by just 1 points.

Takeshi Yamazaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Takeshi Yamazaki 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.