Combat Edge Intelligence

Lionel Lanham vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lionel LanhamNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Theoren ThornNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lionel LanhamTheoren Thorn
1550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Theoren Thorn60%
Lionel Lanham 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 60% favorite over Lionel Lanham in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Lionel Lanham enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lionel Lanham finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.