Combat Edge Intelligence

Lisa Ellis vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record10-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'0"
TBDReach61"
110 lbsWeight115 lbs
United Training CenterTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lisa Ellis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lisa EllisNow 1531
If they win+13→ 1544
If they lose-11→ 1520
Montserrat Conejo RuizNow 1548
If they win+15→ 1563
If they lose-17→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
49%
Strike accuracy
27%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
57%
Strike defense
38%
4.19
Takedown avg.
2.05
64%
Takedown accuracy
83%
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Lisa EllisMontserrat Conejo Ruiz
155020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
11 (73%)
Submission
2 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz66%
Lisa Ellis 34%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Montserrat Conejo Ruiz a 66% favorite over Lisa Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1531, a 17-point edge.

Lisa Ellis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lisa Ellis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Montserrat Conejo Ruiz 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.