Combat Edge Intelligence

Lisa Ellis vs Polyana Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
110 lbsWeight115 lbs
United Training CenterTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lisa EllisNow 1531
If they win+12→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1519
Polyana VianaNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
57%
Strike defense
53%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0.75
64%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
35%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Lisa EllisPolyana Viana
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
11 (73%)
Submission
8 (62%)
4 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Polyana Viana62%
Lisa Ellis 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Polyana Viana a 62% favorite over Lisa Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1541), separated by just 10 points.

Lisa Ellis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lisa Ellis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.