Combat Edge Intelligence

Lito Adiwang vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lito Adiwang
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Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1661Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'8"
65.4"Reach74"
134 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team LakayTeamEntram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lito AdiwangNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Lito AdiwangSantiago Luna
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna54%
Lito Adiwang 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 54% favorite over Lito Adiwang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Lito Adiwang enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lito Adiwang finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Santiago Luna carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.