Livinha Souza vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
63"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team MaximoTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Livinha SouzaMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marina Rodriguez59%
Livinha Souza 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marina Rodriguez a 59% favorite over Livinha Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Livinha Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1652), separated by just 0 points.
Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Livinha Souza finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Livinha Souza and Marina Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Amanda Lemos.
Marina Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.