Combat Edge Intelligence

Liz Carmouche vs Lucie Pudilová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record17-12-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
The ArenaTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Lucie Pudilová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Liz CarmoucheNow 1749
If they win+7→ 1756
If they lose-17→ 1732
Lucie PudilováNow 1584
If they win+17→ 1601
If they lose-7→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
54%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
62%
Strike defense
50%
2.57
Takedown avg.
0.70
34%
Takedown accuracy
0%
66%
Takedown defense
68%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Liz CarmoucheLucie Pudilová
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
7 (27%)
Submission
2 (12%)
8 (31%)
Decision
12 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Liz Carmouche77%
Lucie Pudilová 23%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 77% favorite over Lucie Pudilová in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1584, a 165-point edge.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Lucie Pudilová 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.