Liz Carmouche vs Manon Fiorot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record13-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The ArenaTeamBoxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Manon Fiorot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-13→ 1738
If they win+17→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Liz CarmoucheManon Fiorot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manon Fiorot64%
Liz Carmouche 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Manon Fiorot a 64% favorite over Liz Carmouche in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Liz Carmouche's way (48%).
Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1736, a 15-point edge.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Manon Fiorot 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.