Combat Edge Intelligence

Liz Carmouche vs Manon Fiorot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record13-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The ArenaTeamBoxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liz CarmoucheNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Manon FiorotNow 1754
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.61
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
62%
Strike defense
50%
2.57
Takedown avg.
1.29
34%
Takedown accuracy
3%
66%
Takedown defense
62%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Liz CarmoucheManon Fiorot
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
7 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (31%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Manon Fiorot60%
Liz Carmouche 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Manon Fiorot a 60% favorite over Liz Carmouche in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1754), separated by just 5 points.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Manon Fiorot 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.