Combat Edge Intelligence

Liz Carmouche vs Miesha Tate

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Miesha Tate
us

Miesha Tate

“Cupcake”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record20-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
The ArenaTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Liz CarmoucheNow 1744
If they win+9→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1729
Miesha TateNow 1640
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-9→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
54%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
62%
Strike defense
52%
2.57
Takedown avg.
2.02
52%
Takedown accuracy
32%
66%
Takedown defense
55%
0.31
Submission avg.
1.29

Trajectory

Liz CarmoucheMiesha Tate
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
7 (27%)
Submission
8 (40%)
8 (31%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Liz Carmouche81%
Miesha Tate 19%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 81% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1640, a 104-point edge.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.