Liz Carmouche vs Natália Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record20-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The ArenaTeamTeam Borracha
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Liz CarmoucheNatália Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva56%
Liz Carmouche 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 56% favorite over Liz Carmouche in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1746), separated by just 2 points.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 63%.
Liz Carmouche and Natália Silva share 1 common opponent: Viviane Araujo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.