Combat Edge Intelligence

Liz Carmouche vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-0Record13-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
The ArenaTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liz CarmoucheNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
62%
Strike defense
44%
2.57
Takedown avg.
6.26
34%
Takedown accuracy
68%
66%
Takedown defense
50%
0.31
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Liz CarmoucheRonda Rousey
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
7 (27%)
Submission
10 (77%)
8 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Liz Carmouche and Ronda Rousey within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1751), separated by just 2 points.

Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Ronda Rousey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.