Liz Carmouche vs Taila Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-8-0Record23-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Taila Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1760
If they lose-13→ 1736
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-11→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Liz CarmoucheTaila Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Liz Carmouche and Taila Santos within a point of even.
Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1733, a 16-point edge.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Liz Carmouche finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Taila Santos 65%.
Liz Carmouche and Taila Santos share 2 common opponents: Jena Bishop and Ilara Joanne.
Taila Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.