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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lodune Sincaid vs Nate Quarry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lodune Sincaid
us

Lodune Sincaid

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

15-9-0MiddleweightSincaid MMA

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Lodune Sincaid is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nate Quarry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lodune SincaidNow 1584
If they win+15→ 1599
If they lose-17→ 1567
Nate QuarryNow 1566
If they win+17→ 1583
If they lose-15→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
29%
Strike accuracy
45%
15.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
50%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
0.25
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lodune SincaidNate Quarry
155016001650200820092010

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
8 (53%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Quarry54%
Lodune Sincaid 46%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Quarry a 54% favorite over Lodune Sincaid in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lodune Sincaid's way (47%).

Lodune Sincaid holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1584 to 1566, a 18-point edge.

Lodune Sincaid enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lodune Sincaid finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nate Quarry 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.