Combat Edge Intelligence

Logan Storley vs Michael Chiesa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Logan StorleyNow 1760
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744
Michael ChiesaNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.05
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Logan StorleyMichael Chiesa
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (65%)
10 (53%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Logan Storley60%
Michael Chiesa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Logan Storley a 60% favorite over Michael Chiesa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1758), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Logan Storley finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.

Michael Chiesa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.