Loik Radzhabov vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBulgarian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Loik RadzhabovNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Gugnon61%
Loik Radzhabov 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Gugnon a 61% favorite over Loik Radzhabov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Loik Radzhabov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1671), separated by just 0 points.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Loik Radzhabov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.