Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Mark Eddiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record6-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach39,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Mark EddivaNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisMark Eddiva
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
2 (100%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris60%
Mark Eddiva 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 60% favorite over Mark Eddiva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Eddiva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Mark Eddiva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark Eddiva 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.