Lorenzo Figueroa vs Melton Bowen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight225 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Melton Bowen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1524
If they lose-26→ 1476
If they win+26→ 1501
If they lose-22→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo FigueroaMelton Bowen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo Figueroa52%
Melton Bowen 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 52% favorite over Melton Bowen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1475, a 27-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.