Lorenzo Figueroa vs Mostapha Al Turk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record6-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight235 lbs
TeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Mostapha Al Turk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1524
If they lose-26→ 1476
If they win+26→ 1493
If they lose-22→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo FigueroaMostapha Al Turk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mostapha Al Turk52%
Lorenzo Figueroa 48%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Mostapha Al Turk a 52% favorite over Lorenzo Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lorenzo Figueroa's way (45%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1467, a 35-point edge.
Mostapha Al Turk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mostapha Al Turk 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.