Lorenzo Figueroa vs Sam Fulton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight250 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Sam Fulton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1522
If they lose-28→ 1474
If they win+28→ 1474
If they lose-20→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo FigueroaSam Fulton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo Figueroa62%
Sam Fulton 38%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 62% favorite over Sam Fulton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1446, a 56-point edge.
Sam Fulton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.