Lorenzo Figueroa vs Stefan Leko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'2"
-ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight218 lbs
TeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Stefan Leko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1522
If they lose-28→ 1474
If they win+28→ 1470
If they lose-20→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo FigueroaStefan Leko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo Figueroa63%
Stefan Leko 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 63% favorite over Stefan Leko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1442, a 60-point edge.
Stefan Leko enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.