Lorenzo Figueroa vs Valentijn Overeem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record30-32-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
-ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight234 lbs
TeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Valentijn Overeem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1523
If they lose-27→ 1475
If they win+13→ 1477
If they lose-11→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo FigueroaValentijn Overeem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lorenzo Figueroa and Valentijn Overeem within a point of even.
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1464, a 38-point edge.
Valentijn Overeem enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Valentijn Overeem 97%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.