Losene Keita vs Tatsuya Kawajiri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record37-14-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
72"Reach69.00
154 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lamiro Fight ClubTeamT-Blood
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Losene KeitaTatsuya Kawajiri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Losene Keita71%
Tatsuya Kawajiri 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Losene Keita a 71% favorite over Tatsuya Kawajiri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tatsuya Kawajiri's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1737), separated by just 2 points.
Losene Keita finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.
Losene Keita carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.