Combat Edge Intelligence

Louis Jourdain vs Matt Hobar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Hobar
us

Matt Hobar

“The Crowbar”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69" Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamOctagon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louis JourdainNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Matt HobarNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
49%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
54%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
3.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
67%
Takedown defense
50%
1.41
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Louis JourdainMatt Hobar
1550160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (22%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Louis Jourdain57%
Matt Hobar 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louis Jourdain a 57% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Louis Jourdain enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Louis Jourdain finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hobar 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.