Combat Edge Intelligence

Louis Jourdain vs Shohei Nose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69" ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
BTT CanadaTeamMaster Japan Fukuoka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louis JourdainNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Shohei NoseNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
54%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
3.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
1.41
Submission avg.
4.85

Trajectory

Louis JourdainShohei Nose
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (22%)
Submission
8 (67%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Louis Jourdain57%
Shohei Nose 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Louis Jourdain a 57% favorite over Shohei Nose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1605), separated by just 4 points.

Louis Jourdain enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Louis Jourdain finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shohei Nose 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.