Louis Smolka vs Ray Borg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamJackson's MMA Acoma
What's at stake
Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Louis Smolka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-8→ 1622
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-21→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Louis SmolkaRay Borg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Borg80%
Louis Smolka 20%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 80% favorite over Louis Smolka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1630, a 109-point edge.
Louis Smolka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Louis Smolka finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.
Louis Smolka and Ray Borg share 1 common opponent: Casey Kenney.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.