Luan Duarte vs Lucas Stark
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record1-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1474
If they lose-17→ 1442
If they win+25→ 1473
If they lose-23→ 1425
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteLucas Stark
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte70%
Lucas Stark 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 70% favorite over Lucas Stark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1448), separated by just 11 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Stark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.