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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luan Duarte vs Manuel Del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luan Duarte
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Luan Duarte

“Mao de Pedra”

14-12-0LightweightCWFC

1467Average

Tale of the tape

14-12-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1537 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSevilla Fight Center

What's at stake

Manuel Del Valle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Luan Duarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luan DuarteNow 1467
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-8→ 1459
Manuel Del ValleNow 1655
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-36→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Luan DuarteManuel Del Valle
15001600202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (80%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Del Valle82%
Luan Duarte 18%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 82% favorite over Luan Duarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Manuel Del Valle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1467, a 188-point edge.

Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Luan Duarte finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Del Valle 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.