Luan Duarte vs Marlon Sims
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record3-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamShamrock Submission Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
If they win+24→ 1481
If they lose-24→ 1433
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteMarlon Sims
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte83%
Marlon Sims 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 83% favorite over Marlon Sims in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1457), separated by just 2 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marlon Sims enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Sims 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.