Combat Edge Intelligence

Luan Duarte vs Marques Daniels

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luan Duarte
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Luan Duarte

“Mao de Pedra”

14-12-0LightweightCWFC

1459Average

Tale of the tape

14-12-0Record5-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTeam R.O.C.

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luan DuarteNow 1459
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
Marques DanielsNow 1455
If they win+16→ 1471
If they lose-16→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luan DuarteMarques Daniels
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
2 (14%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luan Duarte84%
Marques Daniels 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 84% favorite over Marques Daniels in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1455), separated by just 4 points.

Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marques Daniels enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marques Daniels 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.